On Mr Ring’s site, apart from the headline, his February prediction only mentions a quake is “sure to be somewhere in the ‘Ring of Fire’, where 80 percent of all major earthquakes seem to occur”, and if it is in New Zealand, could be “within 500km of the Alpine Fault”. If you're wondering, the book's called Pawmistry and can be purchased on Amazon for 1 cent. Predictions of potentials and trends is possible from analysing factors that produced weather in past years. The Alpine Fault runs almost the entire length of the South Island. The techniques Gray used in his life improvement seminars are based on Scientology. He went on to say he had "strong evidence" to suggest the Kaikoura earthquake was "deliberately caused" and there was a plan to create another devastating earthquake using "electromagnetic frequencies" off the East Coast and Cook Strait. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. GeoNet seismologist John Ristau said large earthquakes regularly struck in the South Pacific. NZ Skeptic's Vicki Hyde. While most shrugged off the December 13 prediction, and wrote the November 14 forecast off as good luck, some took the prediction seriously and got to work stocking up. Over late December, and throughout January, Queensland suffered some of the worst flooding in its history, resulting in 35 deaths (Toowoomba, pictured right, was hit hard). "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. Many people have emailed 3 News and written comments mentioning Galileo, and how his ultimately true idea the Earth went around the Sun, and not the other way around, was rejected by the establishment at the time. It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. On October 21, Frankie MacDonald of Nova Scotia, Canada, uploaded a video to YouTube called 'Massive Earthquake to Hit New Zealand Anytime Soon'. Takapau man Nigel Antony Gray is the new kid on the block when it comes to claims of successful earthquake predictions. nzherald.co.nz Wednesday, 18 November 2020 The problem came when their predictions provoked fear, Hyde said. "Once a series of five or ten predictions have proved to have been accurate, with no failed predictions, only then would we recommend that the person goes public with their ability. I had a visual of a bird with overgrown feet/legs and a large beak. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. "As a Painting Trade Contractor I have spent several years checking the weather reports, almost daily, on a need-to-know basis," Gray wrote in an online post. While Gray may be the newest kid on the block, he's not the first Kiwi to claim he can predict earthquakes. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. Luckily, the scientific community has also not been quiet on the matter. nzherald.co.nz. A scroll through his Spiritual Awareness social media page is almost like a session of staring up at the clouds. While Gray's painting business appears to be his main source of income, he also offers services as a "life improvement consultant". “Within 500kms” reaches as far up the North Island as Hamilton. Campbell said he believed Ring was causing unnecessary fear, when the people of Christchurch had been through enough. Long-range weather expert Ken Ring predicted Fijis devastating tropical cyclones in his New Zealand Weather Almanac 2016, which was published in July 2015. Thursday, 03 December 2020. It seems proven ken ring earthquake predictions 2019 april 1 2017 gmc nonetheless its new deluxe crossovers and the most popular sierra 1500 pickup drive the restrictions of its utilitarian image 2019 gmc sierra 2500 hd rumor and release date 2019 GMC Sierra Denali Off-Road Review: Is It Luxurious. To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. KEN RING’S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ If what Ken Ring says is true, the forecast catch includes Taupo and Auckland, which will affect the Waikato River, expecting 14 Dams within this catchment to collapse, which will flood out lowlands of Hamilton – Ngaruawahia – Huntly between 17-22 March 2011, and a month following this. Long-range Kiwi weather guru - Ken Ring - is predicting that snow will arrive in Ireland after Christmas and into January - the last part of which is dry and freezing. It seems as good an indicator as any nothing will happen. Predictions on 11-8-15 New Zealand Earthquake Spirit what prediction is coming next? These predictions would not be released to the public, to avoid scaremongering. For days that combine several factors of new moon/perigee etc, he missed out on several predictions and nothing unusual happened on those days. The New Zealander has singled out specific periods which, he asserts, may experience the finest conditions; plus, he also marks his cards for periods of significant weather breaks. Ferries are running, Air NZ will distance passengers, bus company InterCity has cancelled all trips until May 29, and all long-distance tourist rail will remain shut down. But it’s perhaps worth noting that for Galileo, way back in the early 17th Century, the establishment which repressed his ideas and sentenced him to house arrest was the Roman Inquisition – at the behest of the Catholic Church –not his fellow scientists. What therefore may happen, can only be described in terms of risks and probability.” So far for 2020 there have been 2687 aftershocks located. At the time, Gray told media his intention wasn't to scaremonger. Gray first stumbled into the world of earthquake predictions via his interest in geo-engineering and weather modification. In 2018 there were 4305 aftershocks, and in 2019 there were 3400 aftershocks, within the aftershock forecast area shown in the map below. “There’s no added risk of a quake on March 20 or any other day, and I think people do not realise the disharmony and the discomfort that is being given to a lot of people in the Christchurch regions by [predictions],” he said yesterday. “Even if the moon is sometimes the straw that breaks the camels back at a particular fault, you couldn’t use the moon to predict an earthquake unless you already new a fault was about to go,” says Mr Winter, “i.e the moon could only predict earthquakes when you could already predict an earthquake.” Moon Man Ken Ring, who has predicted a large earthquake in Christchurch next Sunday, is refusing to comment on a "non-event" gathering planned in the city. He’s become a household name in New Zealand. Long-range weather forecaster Ken Ring has shared his distinctive predictions for the coming summer months across the country. How far in advance? While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. A large Atlantic anticyclone will bring dry, cool weather in a north-westerly airstream, the forecaster predicts. Ristau said it took a lot of training and experience to understand earthquakes. On December 12, petrol stations, especially those in Gisborne, were brimming with customers who were worried the big one would hit. CREDIT: FACEBOOK. "The level of evidence he seems to require in order to accept an idea is very low.". But to others – as TV3’s own John Campbell vividly illustrated – he’s a dangerous fool, a charlatan barely a step removed from astrologists and telephone psychics, instilling unwarranted fear into the poor folk of Christchurch. During a TV interview about his predictions, broadcaster John Campbell yelled at Ring. end quote. "This is just a possibility, but be alert, that is all I am saying.". Gray cited the full moon and Prime Minister John Key's abrupt resignation as justification, and suggested the shake could hit the east coast of the North Island. Mr Ring’s other Twitter predictions don’t get much better. Britain's Craig Hamilton-Parker says Aotearoa can expect a "serious earthquake" in 2018, which he believes will be part of "a general increase in seismic activity worldwide" next year. Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. He said he was just trying to prepare people for the earthquake he believed would strike. "Unfortunately Gray believes in so many different ideas that are not only far fetched but at times also contradict each other, it's hard to work out how the dots connect.". 25/08/2020 2021 NZ Weather Almanac Comprises 346 pages of rain maps, frost and snow, max+min temps, summaries, tables. The question asked by US scientists back then was why hadn’t they learned their lesson about pseudoscientific earthquake predictions. David Winter, an evolutionary genetics PhD student at the University of Otago who has taken on Ken Ring before, thinks not. Moon man Ken Ring has been forced into hiding after receiving death threats. Pictures of blue sky and what Gray and his followers refer to as chemtrails are peppered throughout his Facebook feed. The colours on this map indicate the likely severity of shaking in different areas – in technical terms, the ground motion which has a 10% chance of occurring within 50 years. Ring has backed out of the limelight in recent times and did not respond to requests for an interview. “We are too impressed by occasional ‘hits’ and tend to forget the many ‘misses’ which outweigh them.” Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? “He paints more than half of the time between the start of January and the end of March as earthquake risk,” says Mr Winter (see Mr Winter’s graph on the right – red equals earthquake). Ring has been a well-known fixture in New Zealand for some time now, and also flew to fame off the back of disaster. ​Honeychurch said the strength of any ability to predict future events was repeatability. The Beautiful Teachings of Sufism and the Sufi Saints. Gray caused another stir by predicting a shake would hit on or about December 13. “Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. To some, Mr Ring is a prophet, a man whose ideas have been shunned by the establishment like those of Galileo. "Moon man" Ken Ring has been claiming he can predict earthquakes for years but he recently took a step out of the limelight and isn't doing any media interviews. On February 27, Mr Ring said a “jolt” was “possible” in Christchurch between 3pm and 4pm. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. Some parts of New Zealand are more likely to experience severe earthquakes than others. ... in the UK, tornados, extreme weather events around the world and stronger activity in the Pacific Ocean around the Ring of Fire. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. According to Geonet, the strongest shake Christchurch had that day measured 3.8 – less than one they had just yesterday – 4.0 – which Mr Ring didn’t predict. 9.7K likes. 7:02 The 25 will be lost to this. NZ Herald Home. Geologists don’t appear to be spooked by Mr Ring’s predictions. He found a slight effect of the moon’s distance from Earth in the region of 2 percent – enough to very slightly affect the potential strength of a quake, but not cause one. He’s further pinpointed April 18 and the year 2020 as future earthquake dates. In the end the parallels between the shonky earthquake predictor who terrified the US Midwest in 1990 and Ken Ring currently putting a ring around March 20 on his calendar are incredibly strong. Mr Ring, a fishing commentator, has become a source of heated debate in New Zealand in recent weeks due to his earthquake predictions, which are … He did not tweet or write anything on his website about the possibility of a quake in Japan beforehand, despite his claim they can be predicted far in advance. He now has about 30,000 followers on the renamed Spiritual Awareness New Zealand. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. Meanwhile when ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 It looks and sounds … Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. NZ Skeptics chairman Mark Honeychurch said Gray appeared to have been interested in conspiracy theories for several years now. His New Zealand almanac covers 64 towns. So who are these men who claim to do what the world's top scientists cannot? It’s not often such extravagant claims are made in the mainstream, let alone get the following Mr Ring has corralled in recent weeks. True love :) little miss Wednesday loves to be carried by her BFF, A photo posted by michael janitch (@dutchsinse) on Aug 8, 2015 at 3:09pm PDT. Ken Ring’s weather forecast for Ireland for 2020 - Advertisement - This year may see higher rainfall totals than normal, according to Kiwi long-range weather forecaster, Ken Ring. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. Before he was a self-appointed weather forecaster and earthquake predictor, Ring was a maths teacher and later became an educational magician, known as Mathman. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. His Wikipedia page says he was also a musician, actor, clown, speech therapist, private tutor to children with learning difficulties, teacher of English as a second language, part-time teacher's college lecturer, and co-author of a book about reading cats' paws (he said this one was a joke). Gray during one of his seminars. The Missouri man now has 185,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel, as well as multiple Facebook pages and a website dedicated to his predictions. In mid December, Ken Ring tweeted that Queensland, Australia, would have a “mostly dry” January. In fact, Christchurch has had aftershocks measuring at least 3.5 almost every single day since September 4, despite Mr Ring saying in October that they would end “probably around the end of November”. Infact ,October 2020 ,prediction is already tgereon my blog However, there are... Japan Earthquake.8.9 and tsunami-11th March 2011 . US-based Dutchsinse - real name Michael Yuri Janitch - says he has created a formula to predict the location and magnitude of earthquakes. He then predicted another big quake would strike on March 20. READ MORE: * Earthquake: there's no evidence the moon causes quakes * Why quakes weren't caused by seismic blasting or 'unzipping' faultline. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. CREDIT: FAIRFAX NZ. The earthquake hit early morning on Tuesday 8 December 2020 at 1.52 am local time at a moderately shallow depth of 45.1 km. He terms his predictions "alternative weather" and has authored books about the weather and climate. GeoNet's Ristau said it was impossible for man to create a quake like that experienced on November 14. He acknowledges some research has shown small correlations between tides and “smaller, shallower continental earthquakes and ‘solid earth tides’,” but that, “typical earthquake-induced stress changes are about 100 to 1000 times greater than those induced by the tides”. ACC Minister Nick Smith has a PhD in geotechnical engineering and a background in landslides and earthquake engineering. Even the world's top seismologists didn't entirely understand the physics of earthquakes - something that was necessary to predict quakes. The facts on 7-11-17: Reported by Washington Post –“WELLINGTON, New Zealand — A strong earthquake struck Tuesday in the ocean south of New Zealand’s main islands, but there were no reports of serious damage or injuries and there was no threat of a tsunami. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” CREDIT: SUPPLIED. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. Ring believes that around mid-June, temperatures will fall mostly below normal with several nights of ground frosts during the third week. KEN RING'S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ. On November 18 he suggested the Auckland Santa Parade should move from the planned date of November 28 to December 5, as it’s going to be “wet wet wet”. Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Ken Ring is a writer from Auckland, New Zealand, who asserts that he can use lunar cycles to predict weather and earthquakes. Read Vine's Prediction Here: Psychic Prediction about Earthquakes and Extreme Weather. New Zealand will drop down into alert level 2 at midnight, freeing up restrictions on what you can do and where you can go from tomorrow. The Port Hills were heavily affected in February, ending up a metre taller than they were before. According to his Facebook page, Ring has been unwell recently and is taking some time off. Weak frontal systems will bring cloud and patchy light rain at times. Level 2 - What can you do? … He told That’s Farming that due to heavy rain, winds and a high tide, mid-January may be subject to floods in the northwest and south. The 2020 New Zealand Earthquake(pronounced "TWENTY-TWENTY", also known as theAlpine Fault Quake and the 2020 South Island Quake) is a magnitude 8.7 earthquake that will occur on the Alpine Fault in New Zealand's South Island at 11:31 (local) on Thursday, June 18th, 2020. The world's top seismologists are yet to figure out how to predict earthquakes but a couple of Kiwi amateurs reckon they've cracked the code. He claims the New Zealand Government is not only controlling our weather (using chemtrails and chembombs) but also creating earthquakes using a microwave transmission installation called HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program). Provided the input are correct, the output is damning – there is no correlation. 3 News weather presenter Mike Hall reported that evening it was a “springtime Sunday well worthy of summer”, and Auckland was going to have “another fine and warm one” the following day. His so-called prediction was picked up by international media, including the Daily Mail, the Sun and the Mirror in the UK. Let’s start with the establishment – in particular, the Government. It said: "On 14th November and a couple of days either side of that date, watch for a major earthquake, and quite possible in South pacific area.". More ominously, the report is that Russian scientists have confirmed the independent analysis of New Zealand mathematician and long-term weather trends forecaster Ken Ring, who predicted the deadly earthquake in Christchurch (N. Zealand), and this week issued a new warning that the new earthquake should strike around 20 March. Since his claim he predicted the September and February Canterbury quakes ahead of time, and his warning of a quake “for the history books” on March 20, it’s been a question on the nation’s lips. He says he is able to predict the weather based on the trends and cycles of moon orbits. Auckland-born weatherman Ken Ring has made his latest predictions for the coming Northern winter, forecasting a white December for Ireland. Predictions 7-7-17 Earthquake.. New Zealand.. between the two land masses… destructive. Ring produces annual weather almanacs for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland through his business Predict Weather. FAIRFAX NZ … He also uses his Spiritual Awareness Facebook page to plug a fuel saving product he sells in New Zealand, called Clean Turbo. Mr Winter weakens Mr Ring’s theory further with a graph showing the total strength of quakes recorded each day between September 4 and February 22, matched with the moon’s monthly phases. At that point, Gray was a little-heard-of painter and decorator from Takapau in Hawke's Bay. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict either the July or August 2011 extreme polar blasts that hit NZ. Hyde said Ring made general predictions and waited until an event happened then drew a target around it. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. Gray went from about 600 followers on his Weather Modification Facebook page before the quake, to more than 6000. Thousands of people fled the city in fear. "You've got to be open-minded but you've got to be careful it's not so open your brain falls out," she said. Ring claims he predicted the Christchurch 2011 quake. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. The strongest quake to hit that day measured 6 – a decent shake under normal circumstances, but weak compared to aftershocks recorded on Monday and Wednesday. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Unlike traditional meteorological services, Ring claims to be able to predict the weather years in advance (rather than the standard three-day window where a weather forecast is considered likely to be accurate). Sunshine totals may be below normal, except in the south and south-west. On December 1, Gray submitted an Official Information Act request to the Ministry of Defence: "I would like to know if you have attempted to investigate warfare or terrorism being conducted on New Zealand by means of geo-engineering (creating earthquakes) or weather modification?". The very next one he made was that Canterbury would suffer another quake on October 1. "There's actually no way humans could set off earthquakes like that," Ristau said. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. On November 6, 2016, Nigel Antony Gray posted a "heads up" about a major earthquake on his Facebook page. The 55-year-old claimed the supermoon made a large earthquake a possibility. Dr Smith told the National Business Review that Mr Ring’s predictions are “mumbo-jumbo nonsense”. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. So is there any validity at all to his moon-based methods, or is it just lunacy? So-called Moon Man Ken Ring is backing away from his prediction that Christchurch will be whacked by a huge earthquake today. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. “Certainty as to a particular event or outcome just cannot be achieved. Ireland is on the eastern edge of this antic… "Occasionally people will get lucky with a single prediction, but if someone can reliably and accurately predict future events then there's a chance they're onto something," he said. Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. 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